NewingtonWeather.COM

602
FXUS61 KOKX 280614
AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
214 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes at this time.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) High pressure will remain the dominant player through the
weekend.

2) One more round of localized minor coastal flooding for the
SW CT coast during the time of high tide this afternoon.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGE 1...

Frost advisory will expire at 9 am for southeast coastal CT.

A benign stretch of weather will continue through the upcoming
weekend with high pressure largely in control. High pressure
across the area this morning will move offshore this afternoon
and then gradually gives way to another approaching cold front,
which passes through dry on Friday. Another strong high builds
across the area for the weekend.

Outside of some of high level clouds today associated with a
shortwave moving through the ridge, expect mostly sunny days and
clear nights. Highs today are forecast to be in the upper 50s
to lowers 60s, gradually warming through Friday. Highs have
backed off a bit on Friday with a dry cold frontal passage
during the late morning into the early afternoon hours. However,
it will still be unseasonably warm with temperatures in the
upper 60s to the lower 70s. Both highs and lows Friday will be
about 10 degrees above normal.

Behind the cold front, cooler weather is on tap for the
weekend, but remaining dry.

Rain chances remain low for Sunday night into Tuesday. Based on
latest trends in the global models, northern branch high
pressure could win out and keep conditions dry.

.KEY MESSAGE 2...
This afternoon should be the last round of localized minor
coastal flooding for coastal Fairfield county in SW CT. While
high pressure is over the region, astronomically high tides
(King Tide) and an easterly swell have produced the above
normal water levels. Less than foot is needed to reach minor
coastal flood benchmarks. Water levels will gradually subside
for the remainder of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Strong high pressure remains near the area terminals through the TAF
period.

VFR.

Light NE-E to near calm winds through the morning push. SE-S winds
5- 10 kt resume after 16Z, then become light once again Wednesday
night.

...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

No AMD expected.

.OUTLOOK FOR 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

Wednesday night through Saturday: VFR. NW winds G15-20kt possible
Fri afternoon.

Sunday: Mainly VFR throughout the day. Chance of showers with MVFR
cond possible late and towards evening from the NYC metro terminals
north/west.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&

.MARINE...
Conditions should remain below SCA levels through the week with high
pressure in control and a relatively weak pressure gradient most of
the time. The gradient will strengthen a bit with the approach and
passage of a cold front later this week, and isolated gusts up
to 25 kt cannot be completely ruled out on the ocean waters late
Friday.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for CTZ011-012.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...DW
AVIATION...JE
MARINE...DW