What's Happening In Newington

273
FXUS61 KOKX 011104
AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
604 AM EST Sun Feb 1 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No notable changes to the forecast have been made.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Cold Weather Advisory remains in effect this morning. Not as
cold for the rest of this week, but temperatures still below
normal. Advisories not anticipated.

2) Minor tidal flooding early today, and possibly for Monday
morning`s high tide cycle as well.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGE 1...

A Cold Weather Advisory remains posted for the entire area through
mid-morning today with dangerous wind chills due to the combination
of temperatures in the teens to single digits, and sustained
winds mostly 15-25 mph. Winds increase a little this afternoon
with gusts mostly 30-40 mph. Perhaps a few gusts to 45 mph for
coastal areas. Winds impacts outside of wind chills are limited
with no wind advisories anticipated.

Highs Monday through Friday generally around 30 with lows in the
teens to single digits. Wind chills during this entire period would
appear to be the closest to advisory criteria during late
tonight/early Monday morning, but not close or widespread enough for
an extension of the Cold Weather Advisory at this time.

.KEY MESSAGE 2...

A full moon this afternoon and surge from offshore low pressure
will make for minor coastal flooding along much of the
shoreline for high tides this morning. Around 1.5 to 2 ft of
surge needed for minor coastal flooding. Coastal flood
advisories remain in effect for Southern Queens, Southern
Nassau, Southern Suffolk, Southern Westchester and Southern
Fairfield. Coastal flood statements are in effect for the
shorelines of lower NY Harbor, northern shorelines of Queens,
Nassau and Suffolk as well as coastal New Haven.

Minor coastal impacts are expected. and with primary wave
direction offshore, and viewing total water level and coastal
change forecast viewer from USGS, only localized dune erosion is
expected Sunday. Also, ice is complicating factors and may
result in water inundation freezing on roadways in some coastal
locations where an advisory is in effect.

The flow becomes less conducive for surge Monday morning as
winds become more NW. However, key will be how much these NW
winds diminish as astronomical tides will still be high and
there will still be some residual surge. Minor coastal flooding
will still be possible for high tides during this period.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Deepening low pres passes E of the region today, and into the
Maritimes by Mon mrng.

Some MVFR CIGS this mrng across much of the area. Ended
restrictions at 16Z, but there is the potential for them to
linger thru most of the day. Some flurries or lgt snow possible
thru this same period, but no VIS restrictions expected attm.

Becoming VFR by this eve then remaining VFR thru the rest of the
TAFs.

N winds backing to the NW thru the day. Peak gusts to around 35
kt thru most of the day, then the flow lessens tngt. Gusts
likely redevelop aft 12Z Mon.

 NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Flurries and MVFR CIGS possible thru the mrng hours.

Peak gusts to around 35 kt today.

.OUTLOOK FOR 12Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

Monday: VFR. NW wind gusts 15-20 kt during the day.

Tuesday: VFR.

Wednesday: VFR, low chance of MVFR along the coast.

Thursday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&

.MARINE...
Northerly winds through the day today, slowly diminishing tonight.
Freezing spray advisories remain in effect for the ocean waters and
LI Sound through early afternoon. A Gale Warning is otherwise in
effect for all waters today, and for the ocean, this includes the
first half of tonight. SCA will be needed for the non-ocean waters
tonight, and possibly into a part of Monday morning. Advisory
conditions remain on the ocean late tonight through at least some of
Monday night. A weak pressure gradient then sustains sub-advisory
conditions Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for
     CTZ005>012.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EST this afternoon for
     CTZ009.
NY...Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for
     NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 PM EST this afternoon for
     NYZ071.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until noon EST today for NYZ080-081.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 11 AM EST this morning for NYZ178-
     179.
NJ...Cold Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for NJZ002-
     004-006-103>108.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 6 PM EST this evening for ANZ331-332-335-
     338-340-345.
     Freezing Spray Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for
     ANZ331-332-335-350-353-355.
     Gale Warning until 1 AM EST Monday for ANZ350-353-355.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JC
AVIATION...JMC
MARINE...JC