What's Happening In Newington

582
FXUS61 KOKX 241500
AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
1000 AM EST Tue Feb 24 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes have been made with this update.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...

1) Black ice development possible tonight.

2) A light snowfall is possible from a pair of frontal systems
Wednesday and Thursday, and could lead to hazardous travel
conditions at times.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGE 1...

Dry conditions prevail through the evening, and temperatures
fall back into the teens and low 20s tonight. Some spots could
top the freezing mark during the day, so there is potential for
black development.

.KEY MESSAGE 1...

Clipper low drops into the Upper Great Lakes tonight, with
attendant warm front approaching the local region from the south
and west. Ahead of it, a band of precipitation works in toward
daybreak Wednesday and lingers into late morning. Surface
temperatures appear marginal, but mostly supportive of snow as
ptype, though still potential for rain or a mix of rain and
snow, along the coast. Accumulations will be on the light side,
generally up to an inch or two, with highest amounts across the
interior. The timing of the snow may result in hazardous
conditions for the Wed AM commute, with reduced visibilities and
additional snow cover on untreated surfaces.

Conditions briefly dry out later Wednesday morning or early
afternoon. Associated cold front moves through Thursday, and
there is potential for another wave of low pressure to skirt the
region as it slides along the front into Thursday night. There
remains considerable uncertainty with the placement and track of
this second system, but regardless, appears quite progressive,
so any potential impacts appear relatively minor and brief.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
High pressure briefly builds in this evening, before a clipper
system moves through Wednesday.

VFR today into much of tonight, then conditions drop to
MVFR/brief IFR as snow moves through during the typical morning
push time, ending late in the morning.

NW flow through the afternoon generally around 15kt with some
terminals gusting 20-25kt. Winds become more SW/S tonight as
they decrease and then pick up out of the SW/S early Wednesday
morning around 10-15kt gusting to 20-25kt (mainly at coastal
terminals).


 ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

KEWR likely remains south/left of 310 magnetic through the day.
KLGA/KJFK could have equal time north/south of 310 magnetic
through around 18z, then should favor south of it thereafter.

.OUTLOOK FOR 12Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Wednesday: MVFR/brief IFR likely with light snow in the early
AM with 20-25kt gusts in the morning for coastal terminals.

Wednesday afternoon through Thursday: VFR

Late Thursday/Thursday Night: MVFR/IFR likely with rain/snow
mix possible near coast with snow possible inland.

Friday: Mainly VFR.

Saturday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component
forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&

.MARINE...
Small Craft Advisory in effect on all waters through this
morning with lingering 25 kt NW gusts. Winds lighten into the
afternoon, but oceans seas likely remain above 5 ft into late
day before briefly lowering.

Winds and seas build once again late tonight, with an extended
period of SCA conditions then likely on the ocean Wed into Fri
as a series of frontal systems pass through, mainly for
hazardous seas.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST this afternoon for ANZ331-
     332-335-338-340-345.
     Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ350-
     353-355.

&&

$$

AVIATION...JC/JT