NewingtonWeather.COM

631
FXUS61 KOKX 050242
AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
1042 PM EDT Fri Sep 4 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Cooler and more comfortable weather settles in through the Labor
Day Weekend. There will be a chance of showers late Saturday
afternoon into Saturday night.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGE 1...
The region remains sandwiched in between mid and upper level
ridging centered over the Southeast and a digging trough across
southeast Canada and New England.

The trough digs into the Northeast as the associated upper low
meanders into the Canadian Maritimes over the next couple of days,
helping usher in a less humid and cooler regime for the holiday
weekend. We are already seeing some gusty NW winds along with
falling dew points.

Dew points fall into the low 60s for Saturday, and into the 50s for
Sunday. This will offer a much less muggy and more comfortable feel
to the air this weekend.

The cold pool aloft and cyclonic flow could help to instigate some
shower activity late Saturday afternoon into Saturday night. Hi-Res
CAMs showing coverage mainly east of NYC, however can not rule out a
few showers further west. The higher POPs seems to be concentrated
across southern CT. Not all locations will see wet weather.

Saturday will be the warmer day of the weekend, with highs in the
upper 70s to lower 80s. A few mid 80s will be possible across NYC.
Sunday and Labor Day both feature dry conditions and daytime
temperatures in the low to mid 70s. A few lower 80s will be possible
on Monday near the NYC metro.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Primarily VFR through the TAF period. The exception will be for
eastern terminals late Saturday afternoon and evening where SHRA may
result in brief MVFR conditions.

Light NW-NNW winds overnight with some outlying terminals going light
and variable for a brief time. Winds begin to shift more NE towards
late Saturday afternoon and evening.

       NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Amendments not expected.


.OUTLOOK FOR 00Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

Saturday night: Mainly VFR, a period of sub VFR possible for eastern
terminals.

Sunday through Wednesday: VFR. Sub VFR possible by Wednesday
night.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component
forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&

.MARINE...
Winds and seas are expected to remain below SCA levels through early
next week. There is potential for 25-34 kt wind gusts and 5-8ft seas
towards the middle to end of next week ahead of and behind a strong
cold frontal passage.

Rip Currents:

A lack of significant wind or swell will lead to a low rip
current risk through Sunday.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BC
AVIATION...JE
MARINE...BC