NewingtonWeather.COM

698
FXUS61 KOKX 250725
AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
325 AM EDT Sun Oct 25 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes made since the previous update.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Frost Advisory in effect this morning for coastal CT and far
eastern LI.

2) High pressure largely in control through the upcoming week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGE 1...
Very favorable conditions exist this morning for radiational
cooling and as a result, more typical spots have cooled
significantly, some spots into the upper 20s. While the growing
season has ended across the interior, it has yet to do so at
the coast (Nov 1 or 11). Thus, a frost advisory in in effect for
these areas once again.

Elsewhere, lows will range from the upper 20s across some of
the interior, to as warm as the 40s across the NYC metro. These
readings are about 3 to 5 degrees below normal for most
locations.

Warm advection with building heights aloft should result in
warmer temperatures tonight and less coverage of frost.

.KEY MESSAGE 2...
An anomalously strong upper ridge from the Lower Mississippi
Valley into the Great Lakes will translate east into Monday. A
the same time, a strong upper low tracking across central and
eastern Canada will suppress the upper ridge to the south,
sending a cold front across the area Monday night. The frontal
passage will be dry. Otherwise, the forecast area will be
dominated by high pressure through the week.

Highs will be in the 60s Sunday and Monday, possibly getting to
around 70 in the NYC/NJ metro on Monday. It will then cool down
behind the cold front Monday night with highs mainly in the 50s
for Tuesday and Wednesday. This will be a few degrees above
normal. Frost coverage at the coast, where the growing season
remains in effect, looks to be patchy at this time.

It warms up for the second half of the week with temperatures
projecting to be well above normal by next Friday.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR with high pressure in control through the TAF period.

Light and variable winds through tonight become light NW by late
Sunday morning, shifting SW in the afternoon. Outlying areas
will become light and variable once again Sunday night.


 ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

No unscheduled amendments expected.

.OUTLOOK FOR 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

Sunday night-Thursday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component
forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&

.MARINE...
Sub-SCA conditions persist through at least the beginning of
next week.

Ocean seas may also approach 5 ft from Tuesday morning into
Wednesday morning with a building E swell.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for CTZ009>012.
NY...Frost Advisory until 9 AM EDT this morning for NYZ079-081.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MW
AVIATION...JP
MARINE...MW