What's Happening In Newington

465
FXUS61 KOKX 060232
AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
1032 PM EDT Sun Apr 5 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1. A weak area of low pressure passes to the north Monday night
into Tuesday, bringing a low end chance for precipitation for
the interior.

2. Temperatures warm to near seasonable levels Thursday,
followed by an increasing probability of above normal
temperatures for later in the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGE 1...
Rain is currently leaving the area with dry conditions expected
the rest of tonight.

A weak low may bring some precipitation for inland areas Monday
night into Tuesday, but PoPs are only 30 percent at this time.
Some snowflakes may mix in, especially for higher terrain. With
temperatures above freezing and light precipitation amounts
forecast, no snow is expected to accumulated.

.KEY MESSAGE 2...
Temperatures will remain below average through the middle of
the week, with the coldest readings on Wednesday. Highs will
only be in the middle 40s to lower 50s.

THe high moves offshore Wednesday night into Thursday allowing
for a more moderate airmass to advect into the area toward the
end of the week. Temperature uncertainty increases Thursday,
mainly due to uncertainty around the sfc wind direction. With
water temperatures still quite cold a more southerly or easterly
component to the wind as opposed to a more westerly component
will have a big effect on temperatures. Thus, have stayed with
the NBM temperature guidance through Thursday night. However,
with a cold front that likely washes out with rising heights
just upstream look for the potential for noticeably warmer
temperatures than consensus guidance is currently indicating for
Friday, and on Saturday as well. For now staying close to the
NBM, but there is a higher than average chance for adjustments
going forward in time.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
High pressure builds in from the southwest into Monday morning.
A surface trough passes through the area Monday afternoon.

VFR.

WNW/NW flow tonight, speeds increase to 10-15 kt with G20-25 kt
toward 6Z, though some terminals may be more occasional with
the gusts during the overnight. Gusts become frequent after 12Z
Monday, then continuing much of the day.

 ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Gusts also may be more occasional than frequent overnight.

.OUTLOOK FOR 00Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Monday Night: VFR.

Tuesday: Mainly VFR. Low chance MVFR or lower possible in any
showers. W-NW winds around 10 kt with gusts around 20 kt.

Wednesday-Friday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&

.MARINE...
Small Craft Advisory for the ocean was extended through the day
Monday as wave heights remain above 5 ft, though waves diminish
through the day and SCA may come down for Sandy Hook to Fire
Island inlet before the day`s end.

Marginal small craft conditions are possible in NW flow
Tuesday, possibly lingering on the eastern ocean waters Tuesday
night. Otherwise, sub advisory conditions prevail for mid week
during Wednesday into Thursday.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Monday for ANZ350-353-355.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JP/JT/MW
AVIATION...DR
MARINE...JP