What's Happening In Newington

103
FXUS61 KOKX 081441
AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
941 AM EST Sun Feb 8 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Extreme Cold Warning still expires at 1pm, with a Cold Weather
Advisory in effect thereafter to cover hazardous wind chills
tonight into Monday Morning.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Blowing snow expected to continue for some spots in
Southeastern CT and Eastern Long Island where more snow fell in
the previous day with gusts still up to 35 to 40 mph until early
this morning.

2) Hazardous wind chills still expected through early Monday.
Warning level wind chills end early this afternoon with wind
chills within advisory levels thereafter through early Monday.

3) Temperatures moderate a bit mid-week through the weekend, but
still remain below normal.

4) Chances of light snow mid-week and to start the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGE 1...
Put in patchy blowing snow in the forecast where more snow had
fallen in the previous day with winds gusting near 35 to 40 mph
until early this morning. This will be more pronounced for those
land areas that contain more open fields and less pronounced for
those areas within towns and within the woods. Special weather
statement in effect for this until 830AM EST.

.KEY MESSAGE 2...
Still have an arctic airmass with widespread temperatures in the
overnight ranging from the single digits to several degrees
below zero. NW winds are still breezy with sustained winds near
15 to 25 mph with gusts mostly near 35 mph. A majority of the
region has wind chills still near -15 to -20 so the extreme cold
warning remains in effect.

Dry conditions and more sun today will not make too much
difference in the sensible hear transfer as the NW gusty winds
and arctic air will keep highs today in the teens across the
region. Even as the extreme cold warning expires, for this
afternoon, temperatures are still going to be just in the teens
and with the NW gusty winds, wind chills will still be subzero,
getting to near advisory thresholds for quite a few locations.
These will only further lower tonight as radiational cooling
becomes more of a factor with the lack of clouds and a gradual
decrease in winds.

The range of low temperatures tonight into early Monday is from
just below zero to near 10 degrees and with winds still
somewhat breezy, wind chills will drop to the -5 to -10 degree
range along much of the coast and -10 to -15 degree range for
much of the interior.

Monday`s temperatures eventually rise well into the 20s,
reaching near the 30 degree mark for much of the coast. Wind
chills with overall NW winds staying in the 10 to 15 mph range,
will rise above zero late in the morning across the entire
region. This will mark the end of the hazardous wind chills. The
max wind chills for Monday will actually be in the mid teens to
lower 20s for much of the region.

.KEY MESSAGE 3...
Overall with the updated forecast for Monday night through
the next weekend, a few features standout here to convey the
moderation of the airmass.

- Monday night with high pressure weakening as it moves directly
  over the region will lead to surface winds being light. Wind
  chills will be closer to the actual temperature. While lows
  are still very cold and below normal, they range from the
  single digits to near 20 but wind chills are mostly above
  zero, in the single digits to teens.

- Tuesday onward, forecast high temperatures each day get more
  into the 30s and much of the region has these high
  temperatures above freezing. For each night into early morning
  time period, the forecast low temperatures get well below
  freezing, but hardly any single digits will be seen. The lows
  stay mostly in a range from the teens to 20s. Forecast wind
  chills stay above zero.

Shortwave ridging aloft builds in on Tuesday with a warm front
moving through at the surface as high pressure weakens. This will
aid in temperatures moderating and getting back up into the 30s. A
cold front does eventually move through later Tuesday night, but the
airmass that builds in is not as cold as some of the previous
airmasses we have seen this winter. The pattern at the surface from
Wednesday through Saturday will basically be high pressure gradually
building in, with some shortwaves rotating through aloft as well as
associated weak surface troughs. This will keep temperatures
relatively steady, 30s for highs, 20s and teens for lows.


.KEY MESSAGE 4...
Chances of light snow comes from the aforementioned pattern from mid
to late week. First chance will be with the frontal system Tuesday
into Wednesday. The bulk of the moisture and lift with this system
look to pass north and east of the area. The highest PoPs are for
the northern interior and eastern CT and LI. Current NBM QPF mean is
under a tenth of an inch of liquid.

Additional slight chances of snow late in the week into Saturday as
aforementioned troughs move through. Confidence in this is low as
moisture at this time will be very limited.

Both events are expected to be sub-Advisory (less than 3 inches of
snow) at this time.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
High pressure builds W of the region through Monday.

VFR through the TAF period. Some BLSN remains possible for KGON,
though any impacts should remain minimal with visibilities
remaining above 6 miles.

Strong NW winds continue with gusts around 30kt through most of
today, with winds and gusts gradually diminishing mid to late
afternoon, and more substantially after 02Z. A few gusts to
35-40kt are possible prior to 18Z.


 ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

No unscheduled amendments expected.

.OUTLOOK FOR 12Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

Monday: VFR.

Tuesday: Mainly VFR but MVFR possible in a slight chance of light
snow in the afternoon and at night.

Wednesday and Thursday: VFR. NW winds with gusts 15-20 kt.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&

.MARINE...
Gales continue on just the ocean waters along with heavy
freezing warnings for LI Sound the ocean waters out 20 nm. Gales
on the ocean go until 12PM EST. A prolonged period of SCA
conditions is expected now through much of this evening for the
non-ocean zones and for the ocean after 12PM for the rest of
the day and into tonight. Ocean likely continues with SCA
conditions Monday but non-ocean waters will probably stay under
SCA thresholds. Mainly sub-SCA conditions for all waters
forecast Monday night.

The freezing spray advisories continue for NY Harbor and
Peconic and Gardiners Bays. For LI Sound and ocean, heavy
freezing spray warning remains in effect. The freezing spray
headlines end at 6PM this evening.

The winds lessen today into tonight but freezing spray is still
forecast, just not as intense for tonight. Moderate freezing
spray could still be probable for some areas.

Winds further lower Monday and with temperature rising more,
freezing spray should significantly decrease with just light
freezing spray early.

Mostly sub-Small Craft Advisory conditions expected Tuesday
through Saturday. Brief 25 kt gusts and 5 ft seas are possible
on the ocean waters on Thursday.

&&

.CLIMATE...
We set some low temperature records on February 7th, 2026.

Bridgeport CT had a low temperature of 3 degrees and this tied
their previous record low for that date back in the year 1993.

Kennedy NY had a low temperature of 6 degrees and this broke
their previous record low for that date which was 7 degrees set
back in the year 1993.

We could potentially see more record low temperatures for
today`s low maximum temperatures as well as low temperatures for
Monday.

Record Low Maximum Temperatures for Sun Feb 8:

KEWR:  18/1985
KBDR:  18/1994
KNYC:   8/1895
KLGA:  21/1985
KJFK:  22/1967
KISP:  20/1985

Record Low Temperatures for Mon Feb 9:

KEWR: -14/1934
KBDR:   5/1963
KNYC: -15/1934
KLGA:   7/1979
KJFK:   8/1979
KISP:   5/1967

The record lows for Central Park and Newark above represent the all
time record lows for those sites. Temperatures are not expected
to fall to those levels.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Extreme Cold Warning until 1 PM EST this afternoon for
     CTZ005>012.
     Cold Weather Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST
     Monday for CTZ005>012.
NY...Extreme Cold Warning until 1 PM EST this afternoon for
     NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179.
     Cold Weather Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST
     Monday for NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179.
NJ...Extreme Cold Warning until 1 PM EST this afternoon for NJZ002-
     004-006-103>108.
     Cold Weather Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 10 AM EST
     Monday for NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
MARINE...Heavy Freezing Spray Warning until 6 PM EST this evening for
     ANZ331-332-335-350-353-355.
     Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for ANZ331-
     332-335-338-340-345.
     Freezing Spray Advisory until 6 PM EST this evening for ANZ338-
     340.
     Gale Warning until noon EST today for ANZ350-353-355.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JM
AVIATION...MET/MW
MARINE...JM