What's Happening In Newington

524
FXUS61 KOKX 271430
AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
930 AM EST Fri Feb 27 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes were made with this update.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Potential of a brief period of snow showers on Sunday with colder
conditions following through Monday. No advisories anticipated.

2) A series of waves of low pressure move nearby next week, bringing
multiple chances for precipitation. Little to no impacts.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGE 1...
No advisories are currently anticipated for snow or wind
chills.

A cold front moves through the area during Saturday night, but with
little moisture to accompany it. Deeper moisture follows on Sunday
along with PVA to bring scattered snow showers across the area. NBM
PoPs have trended upward from the previous runs, and after
collaboration with the surrounding offices, have gone above NBM PoPs
for Sunday, but still capped at 50%. Thermal profiles support snow,
and the most likely scenario for any snow accumulation would be up
to an inch. Higher accumulations would be across the interior with
higher snow-to-liquid ratios.

Colder air filters in from the north during Sunday night with
minimum wind chills in the single digits. Highs for Monday only in
the 20s for most spots.


.KEY MESSAGE 2...
A series of waves of low pressure pass near the region Monday
through Thursday with chances of precipitation.

The snow threat for Monday afternoon/evening continues to be minimal
with a model consensus showing a weak wave of low pressure too far
to our south for any snow. Left in NBM`s slight chance PoPs for the
period, but thinking is that NBM is lagging and will probably show a
dry forecast within the next run or two.

The next wave passes near the region late Tuesday into Wednesday.
Highest PoPs are during Tuesday night, but precip chances begin in
the afternoon. S to SW winds could result in temperatures rising a
little during Tuesday night. A rain/snow mix would be the most
likely case inland with rain at the coast. A chance of rain then
lingers across the entire area Wednesday morning. Little to no
impacts.

Finally, another wave approaches to the west Wednesday night with a
warm front moving north Thursday. Precip type with this system would
be rain. Highest overall chances of precip are during Thursday
night. Little to no impacts.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
High pressure remains in control into Saturday.

VFR. Low chance of vsby restrictions early Sat AM, mainly for
outlying terminals.

Winds remain below 10 kt through the TAF period. Light and
variable flow this morning, becoming S into early afternoon.
Speeds lower early evening under 5 kt, with light SSW flow
on Saturday.

     NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Unscheduled amendments not expected.

.OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

Saturday: VFR.

Sunday: MVFR or lower possible with light snow. N/NW winds G15-20 kt.

Monday: VFR.

Tuesday: MVFR or lower with a rain/snow mix late.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&

.MARINE...
Sub-advisory conditions are expected across the forecast waters
through Tuesday night with a weak pressure gradient over the region
for most of the time. The only exception is the possibility of wind
gusts up to around 25kt mainly on the ocean waters during Sunday
night.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JC
AVIATION...DR/MET
MARINE...JC