NWS
NOAA / NWS Text Products
Official forecast-office discussions, statements and outlooks
Local default: New York / Upton (OKX)
Browse official National Weather Service text products by forecast office and product type. Availability varies by office, season and active weather.
Forecast DiscussionForecaster reasoning, trends and confidence behind the forecast.
Hazardous OutlookPotential weather hazards expected during the coming days.
Public InformationStorm summaries, climate notes and special NWS statements.
Local Storm ReportsReports of severe weather, flooding, wind, hail and other impacts.
Tip: For Newington, leave the office set to New York / Upton (OKX), then choose the product you want to read.
Forecast Discussion for New York City/Upton, NY
To Select Another NWS Office Click on Map or Choose from List
|
| Select Forecast Office: | Select Product: |
556 FXUS61 KOKX 252353 AFDOKX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 753 PM EDT Sun Oct 25 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No significant changes. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Mainly dry conditions expected into early next week with gusty N-NE winds continuing through Friday. && .DISCUSSION... .KEY MESSAGE 1... An anomalously strong upper ridge will translate east into Monday. At the same time, a strong upper low tracking across central and eastern Canada will suppress the upper ridge to the south. Upper ridging will then reestablish itself over the southeastern portion of the country, with the region lying between the ridge to the south and mainly zonal flow to our north. Other than a dry cold front passage Monday night, high pressure will dominate the weather pattern through the week. Another clear and cool night is expected tonight, but temperatures should be slightly higher than recent nights. Some outlying locations across the interior could still fall into low to mid 30s and the Long Island Island Pine Barrens could see some patchy frost, but currently not expecting it to be widespread across eastern Suffolk. Warmer temperatures are anticipated on Monday with highs reaching the upper 60s for most spots and around 70 in the NYC metro and NE NJ. Milder conditions Monday night will trend slightly below normal for Tuesday with highs in the upper 50s to around 60 degrees. A light N-NW flow may continue Tuesday night, so temperatures may only fall into the upper 30s for areas where the growing season has not ended on Long Island and coastal CT. Frost could be a concern if winds end up going calm allowing temperatures to fall lower. A gradual warming trend is then forecast through the rest of the week with highs Thursday and Friday above normal in the upper 60s and lower 70s. Some of the warmer spots on Friday could reach the mid to upper 70s in NE NJ. && .AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... VFR with high pressure in control through the TAF period. Light SW to variable winds tonight. West winds develop after 12Z Monday, increasing to around 10 kt in the afternoon. ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty... No unscheduled amendments expected. .OUTLOOK FOR 00Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... Monday Afternoon-Friday: VFR. Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90 && .MARINE... Conditions will remain below SCA levels through the week with high pressure in control and a relatively weak pressure gradient. && .OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...DS AVIATION...JC MARINE...DS |
Previous Forecast Discussions may be found at
NWS New York City/Upton, NY (OKX) Office Forecast Discussions.
(Click 'Previous Version' there to view past versions successively.
Some may differ only in time posted.)
Official text products courtesy of NOAA / National Weather Service.