What's Happening In Newington

422
FXUS61 KOKX 251504
AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New York NY
1104 AM EDT Mon May 25 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Isolated showers into early this afternoon, otherwise
improving conditions.

2) High risk of rip currents through the day today.

3) Warmer and mainly dry the rest of the week, with some
chances of afternoon showers midweek.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
.KEY MESSAGE 1...
Another weak cold front and/or surface trough will move through
the area this evening. Outside of a few showers into early this
afternoon, expect a gradual decrease in cloud cover with highs
near normal in the low to mid 70s.

.KEY MESSAGE 2...
A high risk of rip currents is expected all day due to a lingering
4-5 ft 8-9s swell out of the E/SE. The swell lowers closer to 3
ft for Tuesday, with limited effects from a SW wind under 10
mph. This will result in mainly a moderate risk of rip currents,
although there is potential for the morning hours to be borderline
high risk as the swell gradually decreases.

.KEY MESSAGE 3...
Warmer temperatures return Tuesday through the end of the week
with 80s expected Tuesday and Wednesday. There is a slight
chance of afternoon showers on Wednesday with a cold front,
mainly for the Lower Hudson Valley and souther CT. More
uncertainty thereafter, but a shortwave moving through aloft
could then trigger some afternoon showers on Thursday for
eastern CT and eastern LI.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A weak cold front moves across the terminals through this
afternoon. High pressure builds in tonight.

Mainly light rain continues east of the NYC terminals, but
conditions should begin to gradually improve the rest of the
morning and early afternoon. IFR conditions will become MVFR
through early afternoon with improvements to VFR 17-21z from
west to east.

Potential for patchy fog tonight into early Tuesday morning,
particularly outlying terminals.

Light SW-W winds this morning will become 5-10 kt in the
afternoon, before becoming light and variable again this
evening and overnight.

     NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

Timing of improvement to MVFR and VFR may be off by 1 to 2 hrs.

VFR likely for this evening.

.OUTLOOK FOR 12Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

Tuesday-Friday: VFR. Chance of aft/eve shra Wed and Thu.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90

&&

.MARINE...
The Small Craft Advisory remains in effect for the ocean waters
due to lingering 5 to 6 ft seas. This will taper off from west
to east tonight.

A Marine Weather Statement remains in effect for cold water
safety concerns today. While air temperatures will warm into the
70s with gradual clearing, water temperatures remain in the
50s. The cold water temperatures can quickly cause hypothermia
and physical incapacitation to anyone suddenly immersed in the
water.

Sub Small Craft Advisory conditions are expected Tuesday through
the weekend.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...High Risk for Rip Currents until 9 PM EDT this evening for NYZ075-
     080-081-178-179.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for ANZ331-332-
     335-338-340-345-350-353-355-380-383-385.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM EDT Tuesday for ANZ350-353.
     Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for ANZ355.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JT/DW
AVIATION...DS/NV
MARINE...JT/DW