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Local default: New York / Upton (OKX)
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Forecast Discussion for New York City/Upton, NY
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540 FXUS61 KOKX 151815 AFDOKX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 115 PM EST Sun Nov 15 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... No significant changes made from the previous forecast. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) High pressure maintains dry weather through this week. No impacts expected. && .DISCUSSION... .KEY MESSAGE 1... An upper level trough over the region will slide eastward through early Monday as upper level ridging builds over the Midwest and into the Great Lakes region by mid week. The ridge will make its way into the Northeast toward the end of the week. At the surface, high pressure builds in and settles to the south by the end of the week. This will result in an extended period of dry weather through the forecast period. Temps close to or slightly below normal through Monday will moderate to above normal starting Tuesday, with highs into the lower/mid 60s for Wednesday through Sunday. && .AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... High pressure builds in through the TAF period. VFR conditions through the TAF period with NW gusty winds through early this evening. Gusts subside tonight. NW winds near 10-15 kt will gust to 20-25 kt into early this evening then subside. NW winds thereafter through remainder of TAF period near 5-10 kts. There could be some occasional gusts to 20 kt Monday afternoon. ...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty... Gust end time in TAF could be off by 1-2 hours. .OUTLOOK FOR 18Z Monday through Thursday... Monday afternoon-Friday: VFR. Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/www.weather.gov/zny/n90 && .MARINE... A few gusts to 25kt will be possible until sundown today. Winds and seas on the coastal waters should otherwise remain below Small Craft Advisory criteria through the forecast period. There will be a lack of significant swell and approaching high pressure promotes a weak pressure gradient with winds no higher than around 15kt. && .OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...None. NY...None. NJ...None. MARINE...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...JC AVIATION...JM MARINE...JC |
Previous Forecast Discussions may be found at
NWS New York City/Upton, NY (OKX) Office Forecast Discussions.
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